PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 1–0 América Mineiro · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–0.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.341.14
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat América Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – América Mineiro): shots 15–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.34–1.14, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Paulo, América Mineiro.

2.83 days ▲Rest daysSão Paulo · América Mineiro3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSão PauloAmérica MineiroBaseline
Rest days2.83 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

weak

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsSão Paulo 15 shots, América Mineiro 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSão Paulo 2 shots, América Mineiro 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.14 xGSão Paulo 1.34 xG, América Mineiro 1.14 xG
  • Possession48%52%São Paulo 48%, América Mineiro 52%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersSão Paulo 2 corners, América Mineiro 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsSão Paulo 14 fouls, América Mineiro 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo11 matchesAmérica Mineiro11 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111 goal/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.18 goals/match
1.4 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.96 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots11/1113.1 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/114.45 shots/match
54% ●Possession11/1146.3%
6.64 corners/match ●Corners11/114.64 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1117.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jun 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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