PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Juventude 1–3 Athletico · Serie A

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–3.

Shots
177
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
1.751.34
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Juventude 3–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Athletico): shots 17–7, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 1.75–1.34, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Athletico.

3.33 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Athletico4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeAthleticoBaseline
Rest days3.33 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsJuventude 17 shots, Athletico 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsJuventude 4 shots, Athletico 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG1.34 xGJuventude 1.75 xG, Athletico 1.34 xG
  • Possession54%46%Juventude 54%, Athletico 46%
  • Corners11 corners5 cornersJuventude 11 corners, Athletico 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsJuventude 9 fouls, Athletico 10 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude10 matchesAthletico10 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.19 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots10/1012.1 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/104.4 shots/match
48.1% ●Possession10/1043.5%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners10/105.8 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1015.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Jun 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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