PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Red Bull Bragantino 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
189
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.911
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Red Bull Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Botafogo): shots 18–9, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.91–1, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots9 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 18 shots, Botafogo 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotRed Bull Bragantino 6 shots, Botafogo 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.91 xG1 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.91 xG, Botafogo 1 xG
  • Possession64%36%Red Bull Bragantino 64%, Botafogo 36%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 9 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 11 fouls, Botafogo 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 1 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino15 matchesBotafogo15 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.13 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.27 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.16 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots15/1513.4 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target15/154.07 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession15/1548.8%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners15/154.67 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Jul 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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