PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Cuiabá 2–0 Botafogo · Serie A

Cuiabá

DLDLW
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 2–0.

Shots
146
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.20.19
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Botafogo 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Botafogo): shots 14–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.2–0.19, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsCuiabá 14 shots, Botafogo 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Botafogo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.19 xGCuiabá 1.2 xG, Botafogo 0.19 xG
  • Possession47%53%Cuiabá 47%, Botafogo 53%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersCuiabá 5 corners, Botafogo 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsCuiabá 7 fouls, Botafogo 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá16 matchesBotafogo16 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.31 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.1 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 12.9 shots/match
2.94 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 3.94 shots/match
43.9%Possession16/16● 49.1%
4.69 corners/match ●Corners16/164.5 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1613.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 Jul 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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