PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–2 Cuiabá · Serie A

Avaí

LWWLD
1–2Historical match

Cuiabá

WDLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–2.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.131.41
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Cuiabá): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.13–1.41, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cuiabá's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsAvaí 12 shots, Cuiabá 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAvaí 3 shots, Cuiabá 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.41 xGAvaí 1.13 xG, Cuiabá 1.41 xG
  • Possession60%40%Avaí 60%, Cuiabá 40%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAvaí 4 corners, Cuiabá 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsAvaí 10 fouls, Cuiabá 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí15 matchesCuiabá15 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.73 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.04 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots15/1511 shots/match
3.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/152.73 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession15/1543.7%
3.4 corners/matchCorners15/15● 4.67 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Jul 2022, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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