PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–0 Santos · Serie A

Avaí

WLDLL
1–0Historical match

Santos

WDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 1–0.

Shots
146
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.90.5
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Santos 1–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Santos): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.9–0.5, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsAvaí 14 shots, Santos 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAvaí 4 shots, Santos 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.5 xGAvaí 1.9 xG, Santos 0.5 xG
  • Possession41%59%Avaí 41%, Santos 59%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersAvaí 6 corners, Santos 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsAvaí 17 fouls, Santos 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí17 matchesSantos17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.53 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.76 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession17/1747.2%
3.76 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.53 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Jul 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíSantos
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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