PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Ceará 3–1 Corinthians · Serie A

Ceará

DDDDL
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 3–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.171.46
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Corinthians 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Corinthians): shots 18–11, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.17–1.46, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.12 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.12 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsCeará 18 shots, Corinthians 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsCeará 7 shots, Corinthians 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG1.46 xGCeará 2.17 xG, Corinthians 1.46 xG
  • Possession45%55%Ceará 45%, Corinthians 55%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersCeará 6 corners, Corinthians 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls5 foulsCeará 18 fouls, Corinthians 5 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará17 matchesCorinthians17 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored17/171.12 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1 goal/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.02 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.2 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.59 shots/match
51.2%Possession17/17● 53.8%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners17/174.47 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Jul 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáCorinthians
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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