PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 2–2 Fluminense · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo and Fluminense drew 2–2.

Shots
615
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.81.21
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo and Fluminense drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Fluminense): shots 6–15, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.8–1.21, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fluminense have a visible away split

moderate

Fluminense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsSão Paulo 6 shots, Fluminense 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsSão Paulo 2 shots, Fluminense 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1.21 xGSão Paulo 0.8 xG, Fluminense 1.21 xG
  • Possession37%63%São Paulo 37%, Fluminense 63%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 5 corners, Fluminense 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls7 foulsSão Paulo 17 fouls, Fluminense 7 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo17 matchesFluminense17 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1 goal/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.21 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots17/1713.6 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target17/174.18 shots/match
52%Possession17/17● 57.2%
6.12 corners/match ●Corners17/175.82 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Jul 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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