PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Atlético Goianiense 0–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 0–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.80.61
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Atlético Goianiense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Fortaleza): shots 15–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.8–0.61, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.82 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsAtlético Goianiense 15 shots, Fortaleza 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAtlético Goianiense 3 shots, Fortaleza 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.61 xGAtlético Goianiense 0.8 xG, Fortaleza 0.61 xG
  • Possession62%38%Atlético Goianiense 62%, Fortaleza 38%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersAtlético Goianiense 5 corners, Fortaleza 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls9 foulsAtlético Goianiense 7 fouls, Fortaleza 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense17 matchesFortaleza17 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored17/170.82 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.15 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots17/1714.2 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.76 shots/match
53% ●Possession17/1749.2%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners17/175.41 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1714.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 18 Jul 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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