Serie A · 2022

Red Bull Bragantino 2–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 2–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.020.68
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Fortaleza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Fortaleza): shots 14–10, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.02–0.68, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

21.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Red Bull Bragantino, Fortaleza.

3 days ▲Rest daysRed Bull Bragantino · Fortaleza3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRed Bull BragantinoFortalezaBaseline
Rest days3 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match14 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 14 shots, Fortaleza 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 7 shots, Fortaleza 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.68 xGRed Bull Bragantino 2.02 xG, Fortaleza 0.68 xG
  • Possession56%44%Red Bull Bragantino 56%, Fortaleza 44%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 4 corners, Fortaleza 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls18 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 14 fouls, Fortaleza 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino18 matchesFortaleza18 matches
1.61 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/180.83 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.12 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots18/1814 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target18/184.67 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession18/1848.9%
6.17 corners/match ●Corners18/185.61 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 21 Jul 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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