Botafogo
Serie A · 2022Botafogo 0–1 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Atlético Mineiro won 0–1.
- Shots
- 14–15
- Shots on target
- 2–4
- Expected goals
- 0.9–1.69
- Possession
- 37%–63%
Full time
What the match recorded
Atlético Mineiro beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Atlético Mineiro): shots 14–15, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.9–1.69, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Botafogo's recent record differs from the season
moderateBotafogo's last-five shots average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 9.6 shots/match | 13 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakBotafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Botafogo | Atlético Mineiro | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13 shots/match | 16.1 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 12.9 shots/match | 10.4 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateAtlético Mineiro have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Botafogo | Atlético Mineiro | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 48.4% | 58.2% | 50.3% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Botafogo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 11
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Botafogo / Atlético Mineiro
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- The fixture is outside the configured active season.
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
More football
Related matches
Santos
Cuiabá
Atlético Goianiense
Fortaleza
América Mineiro
Red Bull BragantinoTeam rankings in Serie A
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.