PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.370.6
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Botafogo): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.37–0.6, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Corinthians, Botafogo.

6.04 days ▲Rest daysCorinthians · Botafogo6.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCorinthiansBotafogoBaseline
Rest days6.04 days6.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsCorinthians 16 shots, Botafogo 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCorinthians 4 shots, Botafogo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.6 xGCorinthians 1.37 xG, Botafogo 0.6 xG
  • Possession50%50%Corinthians 50%, Botafogo 50%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCorinthians 3 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls6 foulsCorinthians 6 fouls, Botafogo 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Corinthians
0Draws
0Botafogo
Botafogo — Corinthians · Serie A1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians20 matchesBotafogo20 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.95 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.25 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.07 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 4.2 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession20/2049.5%
4.4 corners/matchCorners20/204.4 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls20/2013.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Jul 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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