PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 1–1 Ceará · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Ceará

LWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.642.34
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Ceará): shots 11–16, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.64–2.34, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsBotafogo 11 shots, Ceará 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBotafogo 4 shots, Ceará 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG2.34 xGBotafogo 0.64 xG, Ceará 2.34 xG
  • Possession40%60%Botafogo 40%, Ceará 60%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersBotafogo 3 corners, Ceará 8 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls9 foulsBotafogo 23 fouls, Ceará 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
0Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Botafogo · Serie A1–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo21 matchesCeará21 matches
0.95 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.28 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.19 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.05 shots/match
49%Possession21/21● 51.3%
4.33 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.38 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 6 Aug 2022, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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