Serie A · 2022

Atlético Mineiro 1–2 Corinthians · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–2.

Shots
147
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.811.06
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Atlético Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Corinthians): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.81–1.06, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro, Corinthians.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Corinthians3.85 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroCorinthiansBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3.85 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.42 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Corinthians10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroCorinthiansBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 14 shots, Corinthians 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Corinthians 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.06 xGAtlético Mineiro 0.81 xG, Corinthians 1.06 xG
  • Possession53%47%Atlético Mineiro 53%, Corinthians 47%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersAtlético Mineiro 5 corners, Corinthians 0 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsAtlético Mineiro 11 fouls, Corinthians 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro19 matchesCorinthians19 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.05 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191 goal/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.05 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1910.5 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.68 shots/match
58.4% ●Possession19/1953.8%
6.05 corners/match ●Corners19/194.47 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 25 Jul 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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