PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.961
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Red Bull Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 14–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.96–1, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsCorinthians 14 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCorinthians 4 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1 xGCorinthians 0.96 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1 xG
  • Possession48%52%Corinthians 48%, Red Bull Bragantino 52%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCorinthians 5 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsCorinthians 12 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Corinthians
0Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Corinthians · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians24 matchesRed Bull Bragantino24 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.25 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.47 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5.04 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession24/2450.6%
4.71 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.33 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 30 Aug 2022, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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