PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 0–1 Flamengo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 0–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.470.94
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Flamengo): shots 14–6, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.47–0.94, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo have a visible away split

moderate

Flamengo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsBotafogo 14 shots, Flamengo 6 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBotafogo 4 shots, Flamengo 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.47 xG0.94 xGBotafogo 0.47 xG, Flamengo 0.94 xG
  • Possession45%55%Botafogo 45%, Flamengo 55%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersBotafogo 3 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls14 foulsBotafogo 19 fouls, Flamengo 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
0Draws
0Flamengo
Flamengo — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo24 matchesFlamengo24 matches
0.92 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals24/24▲ 1.72 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots24/24▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target24/24▲ 5.46 shots/match
49.8%Possession24/24● 56.3%
4.42 corners/matchCorners24/24● 5.79 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls24/2414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Aug 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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