PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Red Bull Bragantino 2–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino and Palmeiras drew 2–2.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.451.24
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino and Palmeiras drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Palmeiras): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.45–1.24, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.4 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRed Bull Bragantino · Palmeiras17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull BragantinoPalmeirasBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match17.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.16 corners/matchCornersRed Bull Bragantino · Palmeiras● 7.36 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull BragantinoPalmeirasBaseline
Corners6.16 corners/match7.36 corners/match5.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 11 shots, Palmeiras 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 2 shots, Palmeiras 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG1.24 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.45 xG, Palmeiras 1.24 xG
  • Possession41%59%Red Bull Bragantino 41%, Palmeiras 59%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 2 corners, Palmeiras 11 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 14 fouls, Palmeiras 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Red Bull Bragantino
0Draws
1Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino25 matchesPalmeiras25 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 0.72 goals/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.73 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 17.4 shots/match
4.92 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.64 shots/match
50.2%Possession25/25● 53.6%
6.16 corners/matchCorners25/25● 7.36 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Sept 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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