PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Atlético Mineiro 1–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1.

Shots
216
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.320.72
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 21–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.32–0.72, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro, Red Bull Bragantino.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Red Bull Bragantino3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Rest days2.96 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.15 corners/match ●CornersAtlético Mineiro · Red Bull Bragantino6.12 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Corners6.15 corners/match6.12 corners/match5.52 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsAtlético Mineiro 21 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.72 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.32 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.72 xG
  • Possession61%39%Atlético Mineiro 61%, Red Bull Bragantino 39%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAtlético Mineiro 7 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsAtlético Mineiro 8 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Mineiro
1Draws
0Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro26 matchesRed Bull Bragantino26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.27 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals26/261.44 xG/match
16.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2615.3 shots/match
5.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/264.81 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession26/2649.8%
6.15 corners/match ●Corners26/266.12 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 8 Sept 2022, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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