PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 4–0 Avaí · Serie A

4–0Historical match

Avaí

LLDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 4–0.

Shots
177
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.290.32
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Avaí 4–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Avaí): shots 17–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.29–0.32, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Avaí show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Avaí's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSão Paulo · Avaí11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloAvaíBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 17 shots, Avaí 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsSão Paulo 6 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.29 xG0.32 xGSão Paulo 1.29 xG, Avaí 0.32 xG
  • Possession61%39%São Paulo 61%, Avaí 39%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersSão Paulo 9 corners, Avaí 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls8 foulsSão Paulo 13 fouls, Avaí 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
1Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — São Paulo · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo28 matchesAvaí28 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.93 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.54 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.21 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.3 shots/match
4.39 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.29 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession28/2850.6%
6.39 corners/match ●Corners28/284.04 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Sept 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloAvaí
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required