PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Santos 2–0 Athletico · Serie A

Santos

WDLLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–0.

Shots
1114
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.780.81
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Athletico 2–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – Athletico): shots 11–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.78–0.81, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots14 shotsSantos 11 shots, Athletico 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsSantos 4 shots, Athletico 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.81 xGSantos 0.78 xG, Athletico 0.81 xG
  • Possession49%51%Santos 49%, Athletico 51%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersSantos 5 corners, Athletico 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls21 foulsSantos 19 fouls, Athletico 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Santos
1Draws
0Athletico
Athletico — Santos · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos28 matchesAthletico28 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.18 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.31 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/2812.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.11 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession28/2843%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners28/284.86 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Sept 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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