PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–2 Botafogo · Serie A

Avaí

DDWLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 1–2.

Shots
614
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.952.04
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Botafogo): shots 6–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.95–2.04, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo.

5.04 days ▲Rest daysAvaí · Botafogo3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAvaíBotafogoBaseline
Rest days5.04 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsAvaí 6 shots, Botafogo 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsAvaí 2 shots, Botafogo 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.95 xG2.04 xGAvaí 0.95 xG, Botafogo 2.04 xG
  • Possession56%44%Avaí 56%, Botafogo 44%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAvaí 3 corners, Botafogo 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls20 foulsAvaí 17 fouls, Botafogo 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
0Draws
0Botafogo
Botafogo — Avaí · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí30 matchesBotafogo30 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.13 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.23 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.6 shots/match
51% ●Possession30/3049.5%
4.23 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.8 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3014.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Oct 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required