PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
87
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.71.07
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat São Paulo 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Botafogo): shots 8–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.7–1.07, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Paulo, Botafogo.

2.83 days ▲Rest daysSão Paulo · Botafogo2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSão PauloBotafogoBaseline
Rest days2.83 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 8 shots, Botafogo 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotSão Paulo 2 shots, Botafogo 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.07 xGSão Paulo 0.7 xG, Botafogo 1.07 xG
  • Possession67%33%São Paulo 67%, Botafogo 33%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersSão Paulo 10 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsSão Paulo 16 fouls, Botafogo 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
0Draws
1Botafogo
Botafogo — São Paulo · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo30 matchesBotafogo31 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/311.03 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed30/311.1 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/311.12 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots30/3113.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target30/314.48 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession30/3149%
6.4 corners/match ●Corners30/314.77 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls30/3114.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Oct 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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