PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

América Mineiro 1–2 São Paulo · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–2.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.041.88
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat América Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – São Paulo): shots 13–18, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.04–1.88, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.6%PossessionAmérica Mineiro · São Paulo● 55.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroSão PauloBaseline
Possession44.6%55.9%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsAmérica Mineiro 13 shots, São Paulo 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.88 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.04 xG, São Paulo 1.88 xG
  • Possession33%67%América Mineiro 33%, São Paulo 67%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, São Paulo 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsAmérica Mineiro 13 fouls, São Paulo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
0Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — América Mineiro · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro30 matchesSão Paulo29 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored30/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.1 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals30/29▲ 1.44 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots30/2914 shots/match
4.73 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/294.38 shots/match
44.6%Possession30/29● 55.9%
5.33 corners/matchCorners30/29● 6.28 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls30/2914 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Oct 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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