PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Palmeiras 3–0 Avaí · Serie A

3–0Historical match

Avaí

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 3–0.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
92
Expected goals
3.910.81
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Avaí 3–0. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Avaí): shots 22–10, shots on target 9–2, expected goals 3.91–0.81, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Avaí11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasAvaíBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsPalmeiras 22 shots, Avaí 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots2 shotsPalmeiras 9 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.91 xG0.81 xGPalmeiras 3.91 xG, Avaí 0.81 xG
  • Possession50%50%Palmeiras 50%, Avaí 50%
  • Corners9 corners7 cornersPalmeiras 9 corners, Avaí 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsPalmeiras 12 fouls, Avaí 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Palmeiras
1Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — Palmeiras · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras33 matchesAvaí33 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.85 goals/match
0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.67 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.15 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots33/3311.4 shots/match
5.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.15 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession33/3351.2%
7.97 corners/match ●Corners33/334.52 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Oct 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalmeirasAvaí
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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