PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Cuiabá 1–0 Avaí · Serie A

Cuiabá

LLLDL
1–0Historical match

Avaí

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 1–0.

Shots
1113
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.81.3
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Avaí): shots 11–13, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.8–1.3, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible home split

moderate

Cuiabá's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots13 shotsCuiabá 11 shots, Avaí 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, Avaí 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG1.3 xGCuiabá 0.8 xG, Avaí 1.3 xG
  • Possession48%52%Cuiabá 48%, Avaí 52%
  • Corners10 corners6 cornersCuiabá 10 corners, Avaí 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsCuiabá 15 fouls, Avaí 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cuiabá
0Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — Cuiabá · Serie A1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá34 matchesAvaí34 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.65 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.3 shots/match ▲Shots34/3411.4 shots/match
3.32 shots/matchShots on target34/343.26 shots/match
44.5%Possession34/34● 51.2%
5.76 corners/match ●Corners34/344.56 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3414 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Oct 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáAvaí
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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