Serie A · 2022

Athletico 1–3 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–3.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.242.18
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Athletico 3–1. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Palmeiras): shots 11–17, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.24–2.18, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletico, Palmeiras.

3.22 days ▲Rest daysAthletico · Palmeiras3.03 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthleticoPalmeirasBaseline
Rest days3.22 days3.03 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.74 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletico · Palmeiras17.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoPalmeirasBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match17.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsAthletico 11 shots, Palmeiras 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsAthletico 1 shot, Palmeiras 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG2.18 xGAthletico 0.24 xG, Palmeiras 2.18 xG
  • Possession29%71%Athletico 29%, Palmeiras 71%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersAthletico 0 corners, Palmeiras 9 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsAthletico 7 fouls, Palmeiras 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
0Draws
0Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Athletico · Serie A0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico34 matchesPalmeiras34 matches
1.21 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.74 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲ 0.65 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.81 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 17.4 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 5.94 shots/match
44.1%Possession34/34● 53.9%
5.29 corners/matchCorners34/34● 8 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 26 Oct 2022, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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