PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Coritiba 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
1623
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.851.1
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – São Paulo): shots 16–23, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.85–1.1, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

São Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · São Paulo18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaSão PauloBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match16.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

44%PossessionCoritiba · São Paulo● 62.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaSão PauloBaseline
Possession44%62.7%52.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots23 shotsCoritiba 16 shots, São Paulo 23 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsCoritiba 5 shots, São Paulo 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.1 xGCoritiba 1.85 xG, São Paulo 1.1 xG
  • Possession33%67%Coritiba 33%, São Paulo 67%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCoritiba 7 corners, São Paulo 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsCoritiba 14 fouls, São Paulo 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — Coritiba · Serie A3–1
Coritiba — São Paulo · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba3 matchesSão Paulo3 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
0.98 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.83 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 18.7 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 6.67 shots/match
44%Possession3/3● 62.7%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.33 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls3/314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Apr 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCoritiba — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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