PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Red Bull Bragantino 0–3 Cruzeiro · Serie A

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 0–3.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.52.03
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Red Bull Bragantino 3–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Cruzeiro): shots 12–18, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.5–2.03, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsRed Bull Bragantino · Cruzeiro15.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull BragantinoCruzeiroBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 12 shots, Cruzeiro 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 5 shots, Cruzeiro 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG2.03 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.5 xG, Cruzeiro 2.03 xG
  • Possession44%56%Red Bull Bragantino 44%, Cruzeiro 56%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 5 corners, Cruzeiro 9 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls8 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 18 fouls, Cruzeiro 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino3 matchesCruzeiro3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.36 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 15.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession3/354.7%
4.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 8 corners/match
19.7 fouls/matchFouls3/313.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Apr 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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