PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Palmeiras 2–1 Corinthians · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 2–1.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.390.51
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Corinthians 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Corinthians): shots 21–10, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.39–0.51, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Corinthians10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasCorinthiansBaseline
Shots17 shots/match10.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15.7 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Palmeiras have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.7% ●PossessionPalmeiras · Corinthians45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasCorinthiansBaseline
Possession56.7%45.3%52.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsPalmeiras 21 shots, Corinthians 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsPalmeiras 6 shots, Corinthians 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.51 xGPalmeiras 1.39 xG, Corinthians 0.51 xG
  • Possession54%46%Palmeiras 54%, Corinthians 46%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersPalmeiras 12 corners, Corinthians 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsPalmeiras 20 fouls, Corinthians 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palmeiras
0Draws
0Corinthians
Corinthians — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1
Palmeiras — Corinthians · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras3 matchesCorinthians3 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.83 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots3/310.7 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33.67 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession3/345.3%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/36 corners/match
19.3 fouls/matchFouls3/317.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Apr 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalmeirasCorinthians
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headPalmeiras — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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