PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fortaleza 4–2 Fluminense · Serie A

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 4–2.

Shots
2012
Shots on target
183
Expected goals
5.311.51
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Fluminense 4–2. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Fluminense): shots 20–12, shots on target 18–3, expected goals 5.31–1.51, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.7%PossessionFortaleza · Fluminense● 62%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaFluminenseBaseline
Possession39.7%62%52.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Fortaleza show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortaleza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsFortaleza · Fluminense13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaFluminenseBaseline
Shots20 shots/match13.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against13.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots12 shotsFortaleza 20 shots, Fluminense 12 shots
  • Shots on target18 shots3 shotsFortaleza 18 shots, Fluminense 3 shots
  • Expected goals5.31 xG1.51 xGFortaleza 5.31 xG, Fluminense 1.51 xG
  • Possession30%70%Fortaleza 30%, Fluminense 70%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersFortaleza 8 corners, Fluminense 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsFortaleza 8 fouls, Fluminense 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
0Draws
2Fluminense
Fluminense — Fortaleza · Serie A2–1
Fortaleza — Fluminense · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza3 matchesFluminense3 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
3.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.79 xG/match
20 shots/match ▲Shots3/313.7 shots/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
39.7%Possession3/3● 62%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35.33 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls3/312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Apr 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFortaleza — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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