PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 1–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo and Cruzeiro drew 1–1.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
2.111.25
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo and Cruzeiro drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Cruzeiro): shots 14–18, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 2.11–1.25, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

61.3% ●PossessionFlamengo · Cruzeiro52.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoCruzeiroBaseline
Possession61.3%52.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsFlamengo 14 shots, Cruzeiro 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsFlamengo 2 shots, Cruzeiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.25 xGFlamengo 2.11 xG, Cruzeiro 1.25 xG
  • Possession62%38%Flamengo 62%, Cruzeiro 38%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerFlamengo 2 corners, Cruzeiro 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsFlamengo 12 fouls, Cruzeiro 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo8 matchesCruzeiro8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.61 xG/match
16.3 shots/matchShots8/816.6 shots/match
5.38 shots/matchShots on target8/85.38 shots/match
61.3% ●Possession8/852.8%
5.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 7.13 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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