PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 0–1 Cuiabá · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Cuiabá

DLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 0–1.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.221.24
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Cuiabá): shots 15–15, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.22–1.24, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cuiabá's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsCruzeiro · Cuiabá12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroCuiabáBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.9% ●PossessionCruzeiro · Cuiabá43.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroCuiabáBaseline
Possession54.9%43.9%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsCruzeiro 15 shots, Cuiabá 15 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 8 shots, Cuiabá 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.24 xGCruzeiro 1.22 xG, Cuiabá 1.24 xG
  • Possession65%35%Cruzeiro 65%, Cuiabá 35%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersCruzeiro 6 corners, Cuiabá 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsCruzeiro 16 fouls, Cuiabá 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro7 matchesCuiabá7 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.86 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.89 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.1 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession7/743.9%
8 corners/match ●Corners7/74.57 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls7/713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 23 May 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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