PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

São Paulo 2–1 Goiás · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Goiás

LLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.860.33
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Goiás 2–1. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Goiás): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.86–0.33, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

weak

São Paulo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.3% ●PossessionSão Paulo · Goiás45.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloGoiásBaseline
Possession59.3%45.5%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsSão Paulo 16 shots, Goiás 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsSão Paulo 6 shots, Goiás 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.33 xGSão Paulo 0.86 xG, Goiás 0.33 xG
  • Possession68%32%São Paulo 68%, Goiás 32%
  • Corners11 corners5 cornersSão Paulo 11 corners, Goiás 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsSão Paulo 12 fouls, Goiás 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1São Paulo
1Draws
0Goiás
Goiás — São Paulo · Serie A0–4
São Paulo — Goiás · Serie A3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo8 matchesGoiás8 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.88 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.88 goals/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.97 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.3 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession8/845.5%
6 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.25 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/815.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 May 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloGoiás
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Goiás
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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