PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

América Mineiro 2–2 Athletico · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro and Athletico drew 2–2.

Shots
219
Shots on target
124
Expected goals
1.90.83
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro and Athletico drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Athletico): shots 21–9, shots on target 12–4, expected goals 1.9–0.83, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

weak

Athletico's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletico have a visible away split

moderate

Athletico's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsAmérica Mineiro 21 shots, Athletico 9 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots4 shotsAmérica Mineiro 12 shots, Athletico 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.83 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.9 xG, Athletico 0.83 xG
  • Possession51%49%América Mineiro 51%, Athletico 49%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersAmérica Mineiro 7 corners, Athletico 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsAmérica Mineiro 19 fouls, Athletico 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
1Draws
0Athletico
Athletico — América Mineiro · Serie A1–1
América Mineiro — Athletico · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro10 matchesAthletico10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.4 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.2 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.4 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
43.4%Possession10/10● 48.3%
4.7 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Jun 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Athletico
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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