PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Athletico 2–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico and Palmeiras drew 2–2.

Shots
2711
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
3.671.62
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico and Palmeiras drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Palmeiras): shots 27–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 3.67–1.62, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras have a visible away split

moderate

Palmeiras's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match16.1 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

weak

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.85 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots11 shotsAthletico 27 shots, Palmeiras 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsAthletico 5 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.67 xG1.62 xGAthletico 3.67 xG, Palmeiras 1.62 xG
  • Possession54%46%Athletico 54%, Palmeiras 46%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAthletico 7 corners, Palmeiras 2 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls9 foulsAthletico 20 fouls, Palmeiras 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
0Draws
1Palmeiras
Athletico — Palmeiras · Serie A1–3
Palmeiras — Athletico · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico13 matchesPalmeiras13 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.85 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.74 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots13/1316.1 shots/match
4.46 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.23 shots/match
47.4%Possession13/13● 53.6%
4.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 7.08 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls13/1316 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAthletico — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required