PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 2–0 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.680.94
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Vasco da Gama 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Vasco da Gama): shots 16–12, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.68–0.94, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsBotafogo 16 shots, Vasco da Gama 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Vasco da Gama 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.68 xG0.94 xGBotafogo 1.68 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.94 xG
  • Possession58%42%Botafogo 58%, Vasco da Gama 42%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersBotafogo 4 corners, Vasco da Gama 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsBotafogo 10 fouls, Vasco da Gama 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo13 matchesVasco da Gama13 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.85 goals/match
0.54 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.69 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.21 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1313 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.85 shots/match
44.7%Possession13/13● 47.5%
4.46 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.85 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1316.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required