PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 0–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 0–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
1.270.69
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Vasco da Gama 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Cruzeiro): shots 9–7, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 1.27–0.69, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsVasco da Gama 9 shots, Cruzeiro 7 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsVasco da Gama 1 shot, Cruzeiro 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.69 xGVasco da Gama 1.27 xG, Cruzeiro 0.69 xG
  • Possession57%43%Vasco da Gama 57%, Cruzeiro 43%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersVasco da Gama 4 corners, Cruzeiro 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls18 foulsVasco da Gama 7 fouls, Cruzeiro 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama14 matchesCruzeiro14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.46 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.64 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.71 shots/match
48.1%Possession14/14● 52%
5.71 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.79 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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