PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 1–1 Bahia · Serie A

Cuiabá

WDLLW
1–1Historical match

Bahia

DDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá and Bahia drew 1–1.

Shots
106
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.510.32
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá and Bahia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Bahia): shots 10–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.51–0.32, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia have a visible away split

moderate

Bahia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bahia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bahia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCuiabá · Bahia13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáBahiaBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match12 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots6 shotsCuiabá 10 shots, Bahia 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Bahia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.32 xGCuiabá 1.51 xG, Bahia 0.32 xG
  • Possession41%59%Cuiabá 41%, Bahia 59%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersCuiabá 5 corners, Bahia 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsCuiabá 12 fouls, Bahia 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá14 matchesBahia14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.5 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.19 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots14/1413.2 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target14/144 shots/match
45%Possession14/14● 51.1%
5.07 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.07 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1416.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 8 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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