PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 0–0 Coritiba · Serie A

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and Coritiba drew 0–0.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.781.11
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and Coritiba drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Coritiba): shots 13–14, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.78–1.11, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionCruzeiro · Coritiba44.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroCoritibaBaseline
Possession52.2%44.2%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsCruzeiro 13 shots, Coritiba 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsCruzeiro 2 shots, Coritiba 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG1.11 xGCruzeiro 0.78 xG, Coritiba 1.11 xG
  • Possession55%45%Cruzeiro 55%, Coritiba 45%
  • Corners11 corners8 cornersCruzeiro 11 corners, Coritiba 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsCruzeiro 14 fouls, Coritiba 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro15 matchesCoritiba15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.87 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.01 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512.5 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 5.13 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession15/1544.2%
7.07 corners/match ●Corners15/155.4 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1516.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jul 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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