PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fortaleza 0–1 Cuiabá · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Cuiabá

DLLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 0–1.

Shots
217
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
0.860.68
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Fortaleza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Cuiabá): shots 21–7, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 0.86–0.68, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots7 shotsFortaleza 21 shots, Cuiabá 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFortaleza 6 shots, Cuiabá 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.68 xGFortaleza 0.86 xG, Cuiabá 0.68 xG
  • Possession68%32%Fortaleza 68%, Cuiabá 32%
  • Corners10 corners0 cornersFortaleza 10 corners, Cuiabá 0 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsFortaleza 17 fouls, Cuiabá 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fortaleza
0Draws
1Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Fortaleza · Serie A0–1
Fortaleza — Cuiabá · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza15 matchesCuiabá15 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.13 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/150.93 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/1512.5 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.93 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession15/1544.1%
5.47 corners/match ●Corners15/154.73 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFortaleza — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required