PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Corinthians 3–1 Coritiba · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 3–1.

Shots
1712
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.390.87
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Coritiba 3–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Coritiba): shots 17–12, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.39–0.87, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible home split

moderate

Corinthians's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match12 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots12 shotsCorinthians 17 shots, Coritiba 12 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsCorinthians 9 shots, Coritiba 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG0.87 xGCorinthians 2.39 xG, Coritiba 0.87 xG
  • Possession54%46%Corinthians 54%, Coritiba 46%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersCorinthians 4 corners, Coritiba 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsCorinthians 17 fouls, Coritiba 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Corinthians
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Corinthians · Serie A2–2
Corinthians — Coritiba · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians18 matchesCoritiba19 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/190.95 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/191.89 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals18/191.03 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots18/1911.9 shots/match
4.11 shots/matchShots on target18/19▲ 4.84 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession18/1943.6%
4.67 corners/matchCorners18/19● 5.05 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls18/1916.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCorinthians — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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