Serie A · 2023

Coritiba 0–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 0–1.

Shots
911
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.450.97
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Coritiba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 9–11, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.45–0.97, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Red Bull Bragantino have a visible away split

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · Red Bull Bragantino16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsCoritiba 9 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsCoritiba 1 shot, Red Bull Bragantino 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.45 xG0.97 xGCoritiba 0.45 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.97 xG
  • Possession50%50%Coritiba 50%, Red Bull Bragantino 50%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCoritiba 3 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 4 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls22 foulsCoritiba 21 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 22 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Coritiba
0Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Coritiba — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Coritiba · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba18 matchesRed Bull Bragantino18 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals18/18▲ 1.48 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 16.5 shots/match
4.89 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.83 shots/match
43.5%Possession18/18● 55.3%
5.22 corners/matchCorners18/18● 6.83 corners/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 7 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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