PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Athletico 2–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

2–0Historical match

Cuiabá

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 2–0.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
0.831.11
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Cuiabá 2–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Cuiabá): shots 12–11, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 0.83–1.11, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletico have a visible home split

moderate

Athletico's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsAthletico 12 shots, Cuiabá 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotAthletico 6 shots, Cuiabá 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.11 xGAthletico 0.83 xG, Cuiabá 1.11 xG
  • Possession54%46%Athletico 54%, Cuiabá 46%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAthletico 5 corners, Cuiabá 3 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls12 foulsAthletico 22 fouls, Cuiabá 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Athletico — Cuiabá · Serie A2–2
Cuiabá — Athletico · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico19 matchesCuiabá19 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.11 goals/match
1.16 goals/matchGoals allowed19/191.11 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.06 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.7 shots/match
4.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.05 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession19/1942.3%
4.58 corners/matchCorners19/19● 4.79 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Aug 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAthletico — Cuiabá
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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