Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 0–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

Cuiabá

WWWWL
0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 0–2.

Shots
1318
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.71.74
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Cuiabá 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Palmeiras): shots 13–18, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.7–1.74, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cuiabá.

3.94 days ▲Rest daysCuiabá · Palmeiras4.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCuiabáPalmeirasBaseline
Rest days3.94 days4.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Palmeiras have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.8%PossessionCuiabá · Palmeiras● 52.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáPalmeirasBaseline
Possession42.8%52.7%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots18 shotsCuiabá 13 shots, Palmeiras 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.74 xGCuiabá 0.7 xG, Palmeiras 1.74 xG
  • Possession52%48%Cuiabá 52%, Palmeiras 48%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersCuiabá 9 corners, Palmeiras 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls18 foulsCuiabá 17 fouls, Palmeiras 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cuiabá
1Draws
2Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Cuiabá · Serie A2–1
Cuiabá — Palmeiras · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Cuiabá · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá20 matchesPalmeiras20 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 0.85 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.58 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots20/20▲ 15.6 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target20/20▲ 5.25 shots/match
42.8%Possession20/20● 52.7%
5 corners/matchCorners20/20● 6.2 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls20/2015.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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