PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Red Bull Bragantino 1–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1.

Shots
248
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.61.49
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Vasco da Gama): shots 24–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.6–1.49, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.42 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Red Bull Bragantino have a visible home split

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match16.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots8 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 24 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 7 shots, Vasco da Gama 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.49 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.6 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.49 xG
  • Possession64%36%Red Bull Bragantino 64%, Vasco da Gama 36%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 12 fouls, Vasco da Gama 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino19 matchesVasco da Gama18 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/180.78 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/181.61 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/181.31 xG/match
16.9 shots/match ▲Shots19/1813.2 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/183.72 shots/match
55.8% ●Possession19/1848.1%
6.84 corners/match ●Corners19/185.83 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1815.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Aug 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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