Serie A · 2023

Fluminense 3–3 Corinthians · Serie A

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense and Corinthians drew 3–3.

Shots
247
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
1.942.08
Possession
76%24%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense and Corinthians drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Corinthians): shots 24–7, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 1.94–2.08, possession 76%–24%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible away split

strong

Corinthians's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.64 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.64 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fluminense show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fluminense's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFluminense · Corinthians11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseCorinthiansBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots7 shotsFluminense 24 shots, Corinthians 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsFluminense 10 shots, Corinthians 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG2.08 xGFluminense 1.94 xG, Corinthians 2.08 xG
  • Possession76%24%Fluminense 76%, Corinthians 24%
  • Corners15 corners1 cornerFluminense 15 corners, Corinthians 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsFluminense 15 fouls, Corinthians 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fluminense
0Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Fluminense · Serie A2–0
Corinthians — Fluminense · Serie A0–2
Fluminense — Corinthians · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense27 matchesCorinthians27 matches
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.22 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.3 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.06 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.9 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.07 shots/match
61.7% ●Possession27/2747.9%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners27/274.37 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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