PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–3 São Paulo · Serie A

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–3.

Shots
620
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.252.96
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Vitória 3–1. Recorded in this match (Vitória – São Paulo): shots 6–20, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.25–2.96, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vitória's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsVitória · São Paulo15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVitóriaSão PauloBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against17.5 shots/match8.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionVitória · São Paulo● 62.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVitóriaSão PauloBaseline
Possession44.3%62.8%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots20 shotsVitória 6 shots, São Paulo 20 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsVitória 2 shots, São Paulo 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.25 xG2.96 xGVitória 0.25 xG, São Paulo 2.96 xG
  • Possession33%67%Vitória 33%, São Paulo 67%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersVitória 3 corners, São Paulo 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsVitória 10 fouls, São Paulo 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória4 matchesSão Paulo5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 1 goal/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.34 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 15.8 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target4/5▲ 4.8 shots/match
44.3%Possession4/5● 62.8%
3 corners/matchCorners4/5● 5.8 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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