PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Athletico 1–0 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–0.

Shots
267
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
2.320.5
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Vasco da Gama 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Vasco da Gama): shots 26–7, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 2.32–0.5, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Athletico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAthletico · Vasco da Gama15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoVasco da GamaBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match16 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots7 shotsAthletico 26 shots, Vasco da Gama 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotAthletico 7 shots, Vasco da Gama 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.32 xG0.5 xGAthletico 2.32 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.5 xG
  • Possession56%44%Athletico 56%, Vasco da Gama 44%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersAthletico 6 corners, Vasco da Gama 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsAthletico 11 fouls, Vasco da Gama 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
1Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Athletico — Vasco da Gama · Serie A0–0
Vasco da Gama — Athletico · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico5 matchesVasco da Gama5 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/51.3 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/515.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53.4 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession4/550.2%
5.25 corners/match ●Corners4/55.2 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls4/514.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headAthletico — Vasco da Gama
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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