PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 2–1 Vitória · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 2–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.691.68
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Vitória 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Vitória): shots 17–13, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.69–1.68, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vasco da Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsVasco da Gama · Vitória10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaVitóriaBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match10.6 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match17.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsVasco da Gama 17 shots, Vitória 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsVasco da Gama 8 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG1.68 xGVasco da Gama 1.69 xG, Vitória 1.68 xG
  • Possession57%43%Vasco da Gama 57%, Vitória 43%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersVasco da Gama 4 corners, Vitória 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsVasco da Gama 12 fouls, Vitória 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama6 matchesVitória5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/51 goal/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/52.2 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/51.06 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/510.6 shots/match
4.17 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲ 4.6 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession6/544%
5 corners/match ●Corners6/53.2 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls6/510.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 13 May 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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