PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 3–1 Vitória · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 3–1.

Shots
158
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.20.3
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Vitória 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Vitória): shots 15–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.2–0.3, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vitória's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCruzeiro · Vitória11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCruzeiroVitóriaBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match16.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cruzeiro.

7.79 days ▲Rest daysCruzeiro · Vitória7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCruzeiroVitóriaBaseline
Rest days7.79 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsCruzeiro 15 shots, Vitória 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsCruzeiro 6 shots, Vitória 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.3 xGCruzeiro 1.2 xG, Vitória 0.3 xG
  • Possession54%46%Cruzeiro 54%, Vitória 46%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersCruzeiro 10 corners, Vitória 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls6 foulsCruzeiro 12 fouls, Vitória 6 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro4 matchesVitória3 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/31 goal/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/32 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals4/31.13 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots4/311.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 5.33 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession4/348%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/33 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/310 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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